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zero in on a state with very different concerns, nevada. it, too, has six electoral votes up for grabs, but unlike iowa nevada is racked by the housing market and has the highest unemployment in the nation. why does the president hold a slim lead in the silver state? let's put it through the spin cycle. i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big
to win? we'll find out which way the swing state of nevada is going to go. >> politics and gambling are becoming in incompatible. you can't stay at a trump property. you can't stay at sheldon adelson hotel. you can't stay at steve wynn's hotel either. >> cenk: i love this one. the ridiculous efforts to get black voters. >> it's a big lie that democrats are for black americans and republicans are against black americans. abraham who freed the slaves was a republican. >> cenk: and so was alexander the great if we're going back to history--awesome. and the elbow of the day who's head is it going to land on? you'll love it. it's go time. [ ♪ music ♪ ] >> obama: it's good to be back. >> romney: if the president is re-elected he still will be unable to work with the people in progress. >> our top priority is defeat president obama the second time. >> i can't thank president obama enough for his personal concern and passion. >> people are dumpster diving, and what they're going after here is the food. >> this is america folks. it is not supposed to be this way. >> job reports appear re
estados clases, como nevada, carolinas y florida vamos con viviana para conocer mÁs detalle. >>> el voto de los hispanos es una realidad que puedes decidir una elecciÓn preceden ello sobre todo en una candidatura reÑida, los 14 millones de inscritos el 20% votÓ y 73% de dio su voto a obama. >>> el voto latino serÁ alto en estos comicios. >>> cuando uno se hace ciudadano lo hace porque quiere el derecho de votar y ellos han cambiado mucho el voto. >>> por eso la atenciÓn estÁ puesta en florida colorado, nevada virginia y carolina del norte donde ha aumentado el entusiasmo para votar. >>> tenemos una masa crÍtica de voto latinos y porcentaje de voto blo vado. >>> este es el dÍa da desafio porque de acuerdo con el origen, cambian las preferencias al movimiento de votar. >>> hay Íntimas en relaciÓn al exterior a nivel nacional sabemos que el tema mÁs importante para votantes latinos es la economÍa y no la migraciÓn y la educaciÓn. >>> los estudios encuentra que la mayorÍa de los latinos le darÁ su voto a obama, pero este factor no lo llevarÍa a la reelecciÓn. >>> tienen que
jÓvenes dreamers en nevada siempre y cuando se adhieran a la acciÓn diferida. y la historia del policÍa de nueva york no se la puede perder que conmoviÓ al mundo entero con su generosidad. comenzamos. ♪ >>> este es su noticiero univisiÓn, edicion nocturna. >>> buenas noches. y comenzamos con el desafÍo de mÁs de 11 millones de indocumentados. vamos primero a oklahoma donde un video muestra como una camioneta huye. >>> fue un tramo donde las autoridades decomisan drogas. este el momento donde detenieneo a la patrulla , le ordenan bajarse del vehÍculo, todo queÓo grabado por la cÁmara del autopatrullero. >>> me dice que no tiene pasaporte, ni licencia. >>> cuando llegaron oficiales se abriÓ la puerta y empezaron a saltar inmigrantes, primero un hombre, luego una mujer, le siguieron dos hombres mÁs, luego el quinto, el sexto. y la sÉptima otra que cayÓ al piso. luego sale el inmigrante nÚmero 12. de 12. corrieron como pudieron, algunos atravesaron la autopista en medio de los que autos. esto pasa literalmente en la puerta trasera de nuestra casa, pasa en oklahoma, y vamos a ver
of turkeys to nevada and utah to feed thousands of hungry people on thanksgiving day. >>> there is a lot of snow in this area. look at nyak. more than two feet of know if i will which is open 9 to 9 and northstar is set to open on friday. >>> good afternoon to you, a warming trend is underway and at this hour under blue skies, and 45 degrees good air -- degrees, good air quality and it's just a nice quiet fall afternoon. in nevada 59 and widespread 50s around the bay. 60 degrees in calistoga. a light breeze, northeast at times and look at satellite radar, ridge of high pressure is bridging up the warm air mass. it is weakening as it moves across the pacific northwest but what it is doing is bringing us into the avenue night hours. it will offset our cooling and we are dealing with mostly clear skies put high clouds and the soft subtle light will help and we will be chilly but again not as chilly during recent mornings. february the storm track will be with us and the numbers are up a few degrees over what we felt on sunday. by tomorrow upper 60s and tomorrow 70s and mid-week partly cloud
nevada, big harry reid's home state, the senate leader, big union vote, big hispanic vote there. if he gets those three things, barack obama gets to 271 electoral votes and wins, tyler. >> but not any three of those nine states? >> specifically those three. >> specifically those three. say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has got to get a lot more than that. >> john harwood, thank you very much. as john outlined it is very difficult for either candidate, frankly, to get to that magic 270 number without the state of ohio and here's video evidence from cleveland as to how important it is. both the romney and the biden campaign planes making stops at the cleveland hop
, santa rosa, north up to clover dale, it is pouring. that's nevada nevada and the bay. south of the golden gate is not getting heavy rain fall. all of that heavy rain is creeping slowly to the south. it's going to be a wet day all day tomorrow, windy at times with rough surf. the national weather service has issued a flash flood watch for the coastline and all moint nous areas and the north bay and wand advisory is in effect for tomorrow morning. this is just in, look at this future cast, by 5:00 sunday, total rain fall there is not one part of the bay area that will receive less than three inches of rain. the rain will be pouring o over the next three days. . >> all right paul, thanks. north bay, that's where it's happening, elizabeth cook is getting drenched. >> that's right, allen, the rain has started to pick up in strength over the last couple of minutes. this area is extra vulnerable because it's in a low lying area so all the storm water from the creeks and tributaries flow straight into the river behind me and that flows straight to the middle of f town dmr a soggy
of these states, in particular in iowa and nevada, democrats have it locked up with early vote. in ohio they have a good position with early vote, but it depends on who turns out. republicans are coming out in big numbers in the rural areas, and the question i think for democrats is, how do we do in those urban areas, it particular the top ten counties? the thing i would like to stress is, you know, when you have an election that is this close and it's pretty obvious to say that the obvious, but it is going to be turnout, and democrats have got to be really focused and that is individual democrats coming out to vote. do not believe that this thing is over by any stretch of the imagination. this is going to be a very tight election. >> who doesn't believe that at this point, chris? >> you know, i sometimes hear when i see these pundits talk about their forecasts about what the election is going to be, i get it. if you look at the real clear politics averages, you can make that prediction. i'll make that prediction and think president obama will win. when you have so many polls clustered around the
ohio, también nevada en particular se inclinó con el presidente barack obama que recibió el premio de sus seis votos electorales como en el 2008, jaime garcía con el detalle muy buenos días. >>> qué tal, ricardo arambarri, para las aspiraciones de reelección del presidente barack obama era importante conservar el voto de nevada, solamente era importante mantener la misma cantidad de votos que en el 2008, sin embargo en esta ocasión se hizo historia, porque, aumentó el número de persona que salieron a votar, y ese aumento se elevó al 18 % del apoyo electoral hispano, que en este estado consolidó la victoria del presidente barack obama, fue muy importante, porque en los últimos 10 años, la población hispana en nevada ha crecido y ha cambiado el juego político, el próximo candidato a cualquier puesto político a nivel estatal en el estado de nevada requerirá del voto hispano para ganar el puesto, así mismo, cualquier persona que busque llegar a una posición que se requiera donde estado sea uno de los estados pivotes de esa elección, será muy importante considerar para
votes for sure and he'll probably get in nevada which is six votes, that brings him to 243 votes. if he picked up ohio, then he would have, i think, 261 votes. he would need only nine more votes to climb the presidency. ohio is always important, especially to republicans, i'd say, this year more important than ever. >> we've been talking to voters in all states as they've left the polls today. anthony mason is in the exiting poll information. what did the voters in ohio say? >> the battleground states. the polls have closed, all three of them still right here in the middle in the toss-up column. we want to turn our eyes to ohio and the 18 electoral votes as we've been talking about. look in ohio, it makes up a quarter of the electorate there. john mccain and barack obama just about split this vote. romney has slightly a better advantage, but again, very close. we asked the white working class voters who's more in touch with people like you? again, tight. but asked as who would do a better job with the economy? romney has a big advantage. 53% to 44%. these are white working class voters
the president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matter. new hampsh
involved in legalized prostitution? >> state of nevada, brothels are very accepted industry, is only the outside world where people are fascinated with the legal side of prostitution, but really it had nothing to do with election. i ran a platform of business. i developed for communities of 2500 acres or larger, have done two of them in nevada. i have been a harley dealer, construction, built the headquarters for at&t, my 40 years of business life has been in community building and i must tell you in nevada our brothel life and those that are well run and operated really don't get that much. melissa: are all wrapped up in this petraeus scandal. sex makes everyone go haywire. your opponents did not try to make any negative ads related to it? >> in the state of nevada it is legal, everybody on the outside of the state looks at the legal side of the industry. but in the state of nevada in story county and only in counties where it is legal, so no ma'am read i. it is not an inflamed issue. melissa: it is hard for us to imagine somebody electing somebody who ran a production company or so
george allen by just two windows. with races all tied up in places like nevada, arizona and montana, north dakota, wisconsin and connecticut, it could be a nail-biter on tuesday night. >>> and it will be a nail-biter waiting for the presidential election results. we're two days out and experts are predicting a very long election night. the president's senior advisory says mr. obama and mr. romney are in neck, so he expects tallying of voting results to go well into the morning. a poll has the president just one point ahead of romney, 48% to 47%. and for a look at what states could make all the difference in the outcome... >> reporter: california almost certain to vote for president obama. voters in the red states almost certain to go for governor romney. arizona and north carolina leaning romney. new mexico, minnesota and pennsylvania are leaning obama. so what do you have left? true toss-up states, we will color them yellow. nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia, new hampshire, and florida. and check out how close the latest polling numbers are in the yellow swing late.
in wisconsin and iowa. they think they can win in nevada. they think that romney's going into pittsburgh tonight. he was in philadelphia yesterday. they think that pennsylvania is a head fake, a faint. i think they realize that they not going to win, obviously. north carolina and indiana, two states they won before. they think there is a firewall in the midwest and the three states they want are ohio, wisconsin, and iowa and nevada and, if they win those four states, they'll be all right. they don't have to win florida and virginia then. >> one thing we know by tomorrow night, we won't know the answer to any of those questions. >> exactly. >> we thank you. mark. as the candidates move on, mitt romney will end the evening in new hampshire and the president's going home to chicago. >> all right, guys. election officials in d.c. say about 52,000 people voted early this year. more than twice as early in the september 2010 primary and that is adding up to more than 10% of the population. comes with long waits, two hours or more in some cases. >> yes, we k. >>> supporters of maryland's questio
hampshire, virgin, florida, ohio, wisconsin, colorado, nevada, and if you put that through the grinder, you come out with one state, ohio. is that true? but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend
in the air, including ohio, colorado, nevada, wisconsin, and, of course, virginia, which he won narrowly. >> florida is actually considered too close to call. although more than 97% of the precincts are reporting, and president obama does have a lead in that state. the only state that obama lost this year but won in 2008 were indiana and north carolina. still, the swing state sweep gave obama a huge advantage, with experts calling the race in obama's favor once the votes for ohio came in around 11:30 last night. supporters joined both candidates as the votes came in last night with mitt romney's supporters in massachusetts and obama's supporters in chicago. >> that's where tracie potts is back with a look back on what ended up not being such a long night. >> reporter: we weren't even sure we'd have an answer for you this morning. they were major states outstanding early this morning when it was declared that president obama had the 270 electoral votes needed to win this very close race. a burst of emotion at the obama victory party in chicago the moment the race was called. and early thi
: and then the wildcard no one is talking about. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some noise ♪ >> hello ohio, are you fired
in a world of hurt. connell: and coming up, harry reid, his home state still up in the air in nevada. we are going to have live reports from vegas what the election talk is out there today. are people feeling a little scared today? not so much, but the yield on the 10-year is down. 1.68% for a 10-year yield. [ male announcer ] this is joe woods' first day of work. and his new boss told him twongs -- cook what you love, and save your money. joe doesn't know it yet, but he'll wk his way up from busser to waiter to chef before opening a restaurant specializing in fish and me from the great northwest. he'll start investing early, he'll find some gd people to help guide him, nd he'll set money aside from his first day of work to his last, which isn't rocket science. it's just common nse. from td ameritrade. >> i'm lori rothman with your fox business brief. the service sector grew pat a slightly slower than expected pace. because of the institute of supply management index of manufacturing activity. down from a six month high in september. brazilian sugar manufacturer will take over u.s. base
this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
in the demographics of some key states, particularly nevada and colorado and to some extent, virginia. not long ago, these were some of the rest of the red states, and we have watched through the election cycles of our population in these and other states shifting and changing and we see a number of significant changes in voting patterns. in 2008, president obama was swept into office with 97% of african-american votes and 43% of the white vote. today, we look forward to hearing from the senior research associate on his analysis on how these numbers faired in the 2012 elections and what it meant to the outcome we all watched last night and into the early morning hours. with that, let me call on the doctor for his analysis and remarks. that will be followed by questions from you. thank you very much. [applause] >> good afternoon. good afternoon. the 2012 elections are over and the elections were historic. there is one particular aspect of the elections that was historic that i would like to talk about first. it is not simply the reelection of the first african-american president. 2012 will be the la
. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, for mr. tester, proposes amendment numbered 2875. mr. reid: i ask for the yeas and nays. the presiding officer: is there a sufficient second? there appears to be. the yeas and nays are ordered. mr. reid: i now ask a first-degree amendment at the desk. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes amendment numbered 2876 to amendment numbered 2875. mr. reid: i ask for the yeas and nays on that amendment. the presiding officer: is there a sufficient second? there appears to be. the yeas and nays are ordered. mr. reid: i have a second-degree amendment at the desk. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes an amendment numbered 2877 to amendment numbered 2876. mr. reid: i have an amendment at the desk to the language that is proposed to be stricken. the presiding officer: the clerk will report. the clerk: the senator from nevada, mr. reid, proposes amendment numbered 2878 to the language proposed to be stricken by amendment number 2875.
in the battleground blitz in wisconsin, nevada, and colorado. when he makes his final campaign stop in des moines, iowa, at a rally with the first lady, that's the only stop that she joins him on. the president will have visited eight of the nine battleground states. the one that he's not going to is north carolina. the 2012 presidential election could hinge on this, will the firewall of iowa, ohio, and wisconsin hold up? and you only have to look at the president's travel over the last five days of the campaign to find out that's where the campai campaign believes the race will be decided. one of them has to be the state of ohio. the president has events in ohio four out of five days on the trail. he stopped in iowa, wisconsin, and colorado two times, each will be in florida and virginia, new hampshire, nevada just once before this campaign is over. today the president will begin laying out what aides say is his closing argument, making a stronger case for government. he will point to the way forward to real change. it will say this apparently in his stump speech that will create a stronger futu
4 points in washington and pennsylvania. leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at nevada, north carolina, iowa. mitt romney with needs to win 54 to 60% of the remaining votes in the states in order to drop into the victory. that's a huge lift. i think when you couple the fact that democratic base is much more fired up with the fact that obama for america has been organizing for the last four years. they keep talking about pennsylvania, you can't drop into pennsylvania the weekend before an election, and expect to tip the vote just by buying ads when you have the other team with a fantastic ground operation. >> drive by campaigning won't do it. when you look at pennsy
. in nevada, the white vote was down because it was 19%. nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not
valley. the sierra nevada they have and really very little left of it. we are looking at the temperatures dropping. the winds are calm and the numbers into the lower 40s this morning in our north bay valleys. chance of an isolated shower still remains this morning with 40s and 50s around the bay. by this afternoon upper 50s coast with some sunshine, to the low 60s. we will be dry and then for tonight look for a few more clouds. our dry weather not going to last all that long w will have the details on our next dance of rain coming up. >> with more showers expected, people who live in areas prone to flooding and mood slides are watching the weather. they are very nervous. abc7 news reporter cornell bernard checked on those areas during last night's heavy rain. >> the rain began falling in the north bay after 6:00 p.m. getting the attention of the larkspur neighbor sheila and tess, who live in a mobile home park that has flooded in the past. >> neighbors have lost cars and flooded in the past and homes have been damaged. i lost a bunch. christmas decorations once but that's the worst it's b
giuliani. >> i don't know what he was doing in the nevada. i feel pretty offended seeing my president floating around, campaigning while people are suffering. >> your response? >> well, mayor giuliani is running around the country campaigning for mitt romney and popping off. the people in new york and new jersey, they're working with this president and this administration, fema, every day, and our focus needs to be. the country has been united. in focus on recovery. making sure we stand by those who lost so much and need to recover. this will take a long time. the federal government's doing all they can to partner with state and local officials. we flew power company from california to help restore power. getting fuel into the area. direct assistance to help with food and lodging. we're doing everything we can that we stand by the people in the eastern seaboard. >> your predecessor karl rove, top strategist for george w. bush, that sandy has given president an advantage? >> we think this has been a stable race. i think karl rove might have said that, because a few days ago he predicte
. neil: okay. thank you. one of the state's we will be keeping a close eye on. keep in mind, nevada is interesting for a number of reasons. ignored the four electoral votes, but it could be interesting in terms of the role of one gary johnson, the third party, libertarian party candidate who might eat into, ironically, barack obama's support in the state because among a lot of more socially liberal his views on pro marijuana, not only for medicinal purposes might help tip the scale. that state is very close. barack obama is favored to win it, but that would be one of those unusual states. gary johnson could be the reason i know that seems perverse. he could take it away from mitt romney in states like new mexico. again, those are feature states coming up. the electoral vote tally as we have right now, mitt romney has about 149 electoral votes to 127 for barack obama. i only hasten to add, there is nothing jilting to that. nothing has been unusual. the red states were expected. the blue states were expected. we have been pencilling in pennsylvania. that, of course, could change thing
that had large hispanic populations. like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few undecided that are left. i
million. missouri, a candidate's spending $22 million, $8 million in outside money. nevada, $18 million. independent line, good morning. who is going to win? caller: i think that mr. obama is going to win, but i had three points to make and i would like you to pick one. beer summit, take one for the team, or buyer's remorse. can you pick one? host: i will let you pick. my job is to get to the phone calls. caller: let me have all three, then. host: go ahead. caller: mitt romney will never have a beer summit, he will never mediate. nothing will ever happen like that, first of all. he does not drink. take one for the team? i do not think he would take one for the team. i think he would make america team america. he would make team america take one for him. his religiosity, he may want to force that on america when we are not ready. also, the buyer's remorse. i wrote down the we would be darned if we do and donned if we do not. we will wind up with more gridlock and the republicans will wind up with mr. obama anyway. host: ok. "washington post," the annual crystal ball addition. we are taki
contest. barack obama was leading before the election and then prevailed 52-46%. nevada also expected to be in the president's column, and indeed it turned out to be. let's go to new hampshire. this is a bit of a home state for mitt romney because he has a vacation home there. he spent a lot of time vacationing during the primaries. he won the primary, but not the general election in new hampshire. to north carolina a close race and we called it for mitt romney, a three-point win. the state of ohio, this was really the make or break for the mitt romney campaign. in the end he lost it by two percentage points. a lot of it had to do with his position on the auto bailout. virginia an important state for mitt romney to win. he had to run the table of florida, north carolina, virginia and ohio and he lost virginia. let's move to wisconsin. his running mate paul ryan born and raised in wisconsin. it didn't help him there. barack obama wins with wise -- wins wisconsin. the state of michigan mitt romney was born in michigan and raised there. his father was the governor for two terms. barack o
. right now he's en route to nevada. and later this evening, it is on to colorado. in what advisers call a slightly altered but affirmative stump speech, the president has promised to lay out his case of who he's fighting for and why. >> retraining at the age of 55 for a career in biotechnology. she needs a champion. >> and these are live pictures now from where governor romney is on the ground in virginia, in the southern part of the state. it is the governor's second event, by the way, of the day there. earlier today in central virginia, the governor resumed his message that he is the change candidate. this election, something he started before the storm. >> if the president were to be re-elected, you're going to see high levels of unemployment continue and stalled wage growth, if any wage growth at all, just like we've seen over the last four years. >>> and we're also getting a look at a new round of battleground polls all showing the president leading or running neck and neck with governor romney. in iowa the president is ahead six appointments among likely voters. he had an eight-po
in wisconsin, iowa, and nevada. let me ask you specifically about nevada. we see -- as karen was saying, strong early voting advantages. mitt romney appears not to be making any stops there over the next three days. do you der rooifr anything from that sfl. >> i derive a lot from the early voting numbers and i think the fact that romney is not going there is quite telling. nevada is probably almost gone. and the way that the demographics have shifted in nevada this may be the last election where nevada is really in play for republicans. there's also an interesting thing that happened there on the ground. ron paul supporters sort of took over the republican party in nevada and kind of destroyed it in a way. the groundwork there is really poor for the republican party to the extent that the idaho republican party has actually been sending mail into the state. that's how bad it is. >> so why is mitt romney going to pennsylvania? >> well, i think he's looking at the fact that he can't win in ohio, he's behind there. even his people are sort of acknowledging that that's falling off the map. he has t
, this is without nevada, this puts him at 271, this what is they believe is their fastest, most narrowest path. now, why is romney doing what he's doing with florida today? virginia. don't forget north carolina is one that they're counting on. new hampshire and then ohio. because ohio, look at that, it's right on the number. if all the states he visits today he carries, that's what he's doing. both of them are visiting, andrea, their narrowest paths to 270. i took you to the 271 path for the president, and then you saw the 270 path if you will for romney. now everything in between, what's a great night for the president, take you to that quickly. that would mean, winning ohio, but the one state i think they feel the least bit about is in north carolina. leave florida in romney's column. i think ultimately this is what we're looking at. something right in the 300 range is most realistic good night for the president. you go to mitt romney and what they think their most realistic be good night and why you see he has a little higher ceiling, bring these states back, virginia, iowa, which by the way i t
waiting on the other key swing states, iowa and nevada remain too early to call. north carolina, ohio, virginia, florida, colorado, too close to call. the senate, mostly breaking as expe expected, but the democrats did pick up three new seats. republicans projected to hold the house as well. >> all right. let's get straight to john harwood at the maproom to give us more color on what we're seeing as the most recent poll closings. over to you, john. >> we're almost completely closing the map of coloring in the map of all the states we knew in advance where they were going to faull. the only state where polls have not closed yet is the state of alaska. we're very confident mitt romney is going to win that based on polls before the election. so we're really waiting for those seven battleground states that haven't been filled in yet. again, to reiterate, as we've talked about before, if president obama wins the state of florida this race is over. he's going to be re-elected for a second term. but if mitt romney wins it, he's got to also win north carolina, he's got to win virginia, where
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